Despite what might seem on the surface like a victory, the Arab Alstaiwaat, Ptgelyatea militarism and sectarianism, suffering from a large bankruptcy case, and lost its ability to persuade and influence. This Alstaiwaat trying to restore the soul to the political project, according to the stability of the base in return for repression, but they realize, well, that stability is fragile and false, it could collapse at any moment. So, whenever gone too far in oppression and exclusion, said its ability to install itself and to revive the project. Take, for example, military authoritarianism in Egypt, which exhausted most persuasive and tactical capabilities, by exporting about Almthavth Mcoladtha “Prestige of the state” And”The war on terror”…Etc., we have reached to justify the miserable stage of the economic and social failure facing now. Two years ago, this was a result of the authoritarian media and political shipping, and further to the political vacuum that followed the end the rule of the Muslim Brotherhood, at the height of its popularity and its impact on large segments of the public who was looking for an alternative to the founders of convincing. This authoritarian, and contrary to what it may seem outwardly, actually suffer from the departure of considerable sectors of public discourse about it and, reaching to the point of failure and the inability to completion. As it seems, clearly, that the current system is unable to build a real legitimacy, through which they can ensure the survival. On the contrary, all his policies and his moves and decisions indicate that there is a fear lurking inside the structure, you pay, and in another, to keep the state “Militarization” والتوتر الراهنة في البلاد.
In other words, the current military regime in Egypt, it seems, and contrary to what some believe, careful not to get away with things in his hands, and to please, and sometimes to appease his supporters and loyal buying. He raised the salaries of the leaders of the army, police and judges, and to increase social and economic benefits to them, reflect their lack of confidence on the one hand, and his unwillingness to they left him, and not to leave it in the face of the unknown and alone, on the other hand. It is here the Ptorathm one way or another, in order to ensure the survival of their loyalty to him and his policies and logic. System revolving around the old visions, policies and choices, but does not have the ability to create new authoritarian Tools. What happened, finally, from the play detect and combat corruption and clear evidence of the state of idleness and deterioration enjoyed by this system, not only among his opponents, but mainly between the supporters who, paradoxically, feel a lack of safety and the ability to stay under the protection of this system and below.
أعتقد أن نهاية هذا النظام الحالي في مصر مسألة وقت، على الرغم من حالة التشاؤم التي
تسيطر على كثيرين. The problems of structural and structural contradictions within the system can not be ignored or denied. It is the same problems and contradictions that toppled Hosni Mubarak four years ago. It is located in the heart of the contradictions of the system and its relationship to society, and that made him under constant pressure, which will not stop only with real concessions, they can be kept survival, and to ensure that he is not a violent blow, similar to what happened to the systems before the third of July coup 2013. وما يفعله هذا النظام من محاولات لامتصاص حالة الغضب المتراكمة من خلال فتح ملفات الفساد، وإنْ شكلياً، ليست سوى مؤشر على استشعاره مخاطر الاستمرار في نهجه القائم.
Take also the sectarian system in Iraq and Lebanon, which are located, now, under great public pressure, it will not stop before making real concessions to silence the street and containment, if that with this system the minimum of confidence will not pay attention to this pressure, which does not seem yet happening. فالتظاهرات والاعتصامات التي تنتشر في البلدين تكشف انهيار القدرات السياسية والإقناعية لنظاميهما السياسي، وفشلهما في تحقيق الحد الأدنى من الرضا الذي يضمن استمراريتهما.
It is true that classical Arab opposition seems fragmented and divided, and even rival and sometimes desperate, but that the real source of danger to the current regulations, so as illustrated by the Arab Spring wave, stems mainly from its internal crisis by trying orbits every way, and blind them, so as not revealed and clear political nakedness. وإذا كان من نافلة القول إنه لا مستقبل للسلطوية العربية بدون دفع ثمن كبير لذلك، فإن من نافلة القول، أيضاً، إنه لا مستقبل للقوى والحركات والتنظيمات التي تتصارع فيما بينها بضراوة، وذلك ما لم تتفق على أجندة اقتصادية واجتماعية مشتركة.
ما فعلته الموجة الأولى للربيع العربي أنها ألقت حجراً كبيراً من ماء السياسة العربية الراكد منذ سنوات طويلة، ولا تزال تفاعلات هذه الموجة قائمة، وإن خفتت بشكل أو بآخر، أو اتخذت أشكالاً أخرى، ولن تتوقف هذه التفاعلات حتى تصل إلى مبتغاها، مهما فعل الطغاة والمستبدون.
the source : Arab New